Johannes Lima Spielhofen

Global Stress Monitor

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Indices & Volatility

SPY · S&P 500

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DIA · Dow Jones

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VIX

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Commodities & FX

WTI Crude

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Brent

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Gold

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DXY Dollar

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Sector ETFs

XLE · Energy

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ITA · Defense

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XLP · Staples

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MOO · Agri

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US Treasury Yield Curve

Last 12 months · FRED daily

10Y − 2Y SPREAD

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2-YEAR YIELD—

10-YEAR YIELD—

Oil & Energy Focus

LIVE HYPERLIQUID

Exchange Futures CME · NYMEX · ICE

CL · WTI Crude NYMEX

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BZ · Brent Crude ICE

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NG · Natural Gas NYMEX

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RB · RBOB Gasoline NYMEX

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HO · Heating Oil NYMEX

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HH · Henry Hub NYMEX

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Physical Benchmarks MANUAL

LLS · Louisiana Light Sweet

enter $/bbl

WCS · Western Canadian

enter $/bbl

Urals Blend

enter $/bbl

Hyperliquid Perps 24/7

xyz:CL · WTI PERP

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xyz:BRENTOIL · BRENT PERP

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km:USOIL · US OIL PERP

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cash:WTI · WTI PERP

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WTI–Brent Spread —

3:2:1 Crack Spread —

Oil & Energy ETFs

USO · US Oil Fund

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BNO · Brent Oil Fund

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CRAK · Refiners ETF

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XOP · Oil & Gas E&P

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OIH · Oil Services

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XLE · Energy Sector

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Supply & Inventory FRED · EIA

Crude Stocks 60s

US Commercial StocksFRED: WCESTUS1 · weekly

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Strategic Petroleum ReserveFRED: WCSSTUS1 · weekly

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Production & Prices 60s

US Crude ProductionFRED: WCRFPUS2 · weekly

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Retail GasolineFRED: GASREGW · weekly

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US Gulf DieselFRED: DDFUELUSGULF · daily

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Jet Fuel Gulf CoastFRED: DJFUELUSGULF · daily

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WTI & Brent Spot 60s

WTI Spot (Cushing)FRED: DCOILWTICO · daily

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Brent Spot (Europe)FRED: DCOILBRENTEU · daily

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🇺🇸 UNITED STATES

Labor Market 60s

Sahm RuleFRED: SAHMREALTIME

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Initial ClaimsFRED: ICSA · weekly

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Rates & Credit 60s

Yield Curve (10Y-2Y)FRED: T10Y2Y

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HY Credit SpreadFRED: BAMLH0A0HYM2

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30Y Mortgage RateFRED: MORTGAGE30US

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Real Economy 60s

Industrial ProductionFRED: INDPRO · MoM%

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Building PermitsFRED: PERMIT

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ISM Manufacturing PMIManual · <50 = contraction

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ISM Services PMIManual · 70% of GDP

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Consumer 60s

Consumer SentimentFRED: UMCSENT

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Market

VIX LevelAuto-sync from Yahoo Finance

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S&P 500 DrawdownManual · % from ATH

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Inflation 60s

CPI Y/YFRED: CPIAUCSL · computed

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5Y Breakeven InflationFRED: T5YIE

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Valuation

S&P 500 P/EManual · trailing 12M

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Mkt Cap / M2Manual · Buffett indicator %

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Financial Conditions 60s

NFCIFRED: NFCI · Chicago Fed

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Monetary Policy 60s

ECB Refi RateFRED: ECBMRRFR

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EUR/USDFRED: DEXUSEU · daily

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Inflation & Economy 60s

HICP InflationFRED: CP0000EZ19M086NEST

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Unemployment RateFRED: LRHUTTTTEZM156S

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Consumer ConfidenceFRED: CSCICP02EZM460S

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Market

Composite PMIManual · >50 = expansion

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BTP-Bund SpreadManual · Italian risk premium bps

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Prices 60s

CPI Y/YFRED: CPALTT01CNM657N

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PPI Y/YFRED: CHNPIEATI01GYM

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Currency 60s

USD/CNYFRED: DEXCHUS · daily

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Activity

NBS Manufacturing PMIManual · <50 = contraction

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Caixin Services PMIManual · private survey

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FX ReservesManual · $T

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Monetary Policy 60s

BOJ Policy RateFRED: IRSTCB01JPM156N

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10Y JGB YieldFRED: IRLTLT01JPM156N

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Prices & FX 60s

CPI (All Items)FRED: JPNCPIALLMINMEI

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JPY/USDFRED: DEXJPUS · daily

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Market 60s

Nikkei 225FRED: NIKKEI225 · daily

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Tankan IndexManual · BOJ survey

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Monetary Policy 60s

BOE Base RateFRED: BOERUKM · monthly

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GBP/USDFRED: DEXUSUK · daily

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Economy 60s

CPI (All Items)FRED: GBRCPIALLMINMEI

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Unemployment RateFRED: LRHUTTTTGBM156S

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Market

UK Composite PMIManual · >50 = expansion

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10Y Gilt YieldManual · %

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FRED · Yahoo Finance · Hyperliquid · Smart Polling

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Hi, I'm Johannes.

Oil & Energy Focus